The Litmus Lab.
Testing AI Under Constraint.
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#238
Economics
Will there be a US recession by end of 2026?
Added 2026-02-14 · 70 runs · 63 drifts
Claude
claude-opus-4-6
NO
18% yes
GPT
gpt-5.4
NO
44% yes
Gemini
gemini-2.5-pro
YES
61% yes
DeepSeek
deepseek-chat (V3.2)
NO
30% yes
Grok
grok-4.2-beta
NO
1% yes
Full Record